锦屏一级水电站运行期谷幅变形特性与影响因素分析

通过对锦屏一级水电站运行期跨江段谷幅历年变形值进行比较分析,总结运行期谷幅的变形规律和左岸边坡的变形收敛情况;采用逐步回归分析方法,分析运行期边坡谷幅变形的影响因素,分析库岸岩体变形与库水位、气温及其他作用因子的相关性,总结运行期左岸变形的时空分布规律与特点;通过各种观测手段与谷幅变形进行对比分析,对谷幅观测的可靠性进行验证,论证谷幅成果的可靠性和真实性。     

不同降雨入渗条件下预应力锚索加固边坡稳定性分析

为了研究不同降雨条件下边坡安全系数及预应力锚索轴力变化规律,以省道S303沿线某边坡为研究对象,考虑土体饱和-非饱和渗流与非饱和强度理论,基于有限元分析,对不同降雨工况下的孔隙水压分布、锚索轴力及采用强度折减法计算的边坡安全系数变化规律进行了研究。结果表明: 降雨量一定时,降雨入渗范围随雨强增大而减小,暂态饱和区域随雨强增加而增大; 边坡在加固前后的安全系数均随降雨量增加而不断减小,采用预应力锚索加固能有效提高边坡安全系数,并减小降雨对边坡稳定性的影响; 随着降雨量增加,各锚索轴力均增大,当降雨量一定时,雨强越小,对应的锚索轴力提升幅度越大,靠近底部的锚索轴力对降雨最为敏感。     

磁絮凝强化技术处理厌氧消化污泥脱水液

为满足后续生物处理单元对固体悬浮物（SS）和铁浓度的进水要求，采用磁絮凝强化技术对厌氧消化污泥脱水液进行预处理。通过正交试验和单因素试验，本文考察了混凝水力条件、聚合氯化铝（PAC）投加量、聚丙烯酰胺（PAM）投加量、磁粉投加量及药剂投加顺序对磁絮凝效果的影响。试验结果表明：磁絮凝强化技术在快搅300r/min（2min）、慢搅100r/min（15min）、静置10min时，依次投加磁粉（40mg/L）、PAC（30mg/L）、PAM（4mg/L）时处理效果最好。在此运行条件下，SS和Fe³⁺去除率分别为97.61%、98.24%、絮凝指数（FI值）取得最大值、zeta电位绝对值最小，絮凝效果最佳。与对照相比，磁絮凝强化技术对SS和Fe³⁺去除率分别可提高3.70%和10.82%，同时絮体最大沉降速度可提高33%。磁絮凝技术处理后的出水不仅可以满足后续生物处理单元对SS和铁浓度的要求，还可以有效提高磁絮凝体的沉降速度，减小沉淀时间，具有较好的实用价值。     

Effect of lactose content on dielectric properties of whole milk and skim milk

Dielectric properties (dielectric constant ε′ and dielectric loss factor ε′′) of whole milk and skim milk with the lactose content of 4.56–6.44% and 4.57–6.47%, respectively, were measured over the frequency range of 20–4500 MHz at 25 °C using a vector network analyzer. The results showed that ε′ decreased with increasing frequency, and ε′′ changed with V shape and its minimum was noted at about 2000 MHz. Whole milk had lower dielectric properties than skim milk at almost same lactose content and a given frequency. ε′ had weak positive linear relationship with lactose content for whole milk, but had negative linear relationship for skim milk. No matter for which milk, ε′′ had very good negative linear relationship with lactose content below 1000 MHz and had good positive linear relationship above 2300 MHz. The study provides information on developing rapid lactose detector for milk in future.     

Backtesting portfolio value-at-risk with estimated portfolio weights

This article theoretically and empirically analyzes backtesting portfolio value-at-risk (VaR) with estimation risk in an intrinsically multi-variate framework. It particularly takes into account the estimation of portfolio weights in forecasting portfolio VaR and its impact on backtesting. It shows that the estimation risk from estimating portfolio weights and that from estimating the multi-variate dynamic model make the existing methods in a univariate framework inapplicable. It proposes a general theory to quantify estimation risk applicable to the present problem and suggests practitioners a simple but effective way to implement valid inference to overcome the effect of estimation risk in backtesting portfolio VaR. In particular, we apply our theory to the efficient mean-variance-skewness portfolio for a multi-variate generalized autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity model with multi-variate general hyperbolic distributed innovations. Some Monte Carlo simulations and an empirical application demonstrate the merits of our method.     

Double hysteresis loops and enhanced mechanical quality factor of Mn-doped 0.75PMN-0.25PT ceramics

Relaxor ferroelectric 0.75 Pb(Mg_1/3Nb_2/3)O₃-0.25PbTiO₃ (0.75PMN-0.25PT) ceramics with Mn-doping concentration of 0%, 1%, 2% and 3 mol% were prepared by two-step sintering. The phase composition, microstructure, dielectric property, ferroelectric property, piezoelectric property and electromechanical property were investigated. Results indicate that all ceramics exhibit pure perovskite phases and high density. Mn-doping induces some decrease in dielectric constant ε_r, dielectric loss tanδ, remnant polarization P_r, piezoelectric coefficient d₃₃, and electromechanical coupling coefficient k_p, while significant increase in mechanical quality factor Q_m and the figure of merit (FOM) of 0.75PMN-0.25PT ceramics. For 3 mol% Mn-doped 0.75PMN-0.25PT ceramics, Q_m enhances by 1449%, FOM increases by 923%, and tanδ decreases by 67%, which makes it more suitable for high power applications. Interestingly, double P-E loops are observed in 3 mol% Mn-doped 0.75PMN-0.25PT ceramics. The phenomenon was investigated by the symmetry-conforming principle of point defects and the internal bias field.     

Nonlinear Factor-Augmented Predictive Regression Models with Functional Coefficients

This article introduces a new class of functional-coefficient predictive regression models, where the regressors consist of auto-regressors and latent factor regressors, and the coefficients vary with certain index variable. The unobservable factor regressors are estimated through imposing an approximate factor model on high dimensional exogenous variables and subsequently implementing the classical principal component analysis. With the estimated factor regressors, a local linear smoothing method is used to estimate the coefficient functions (with appropriate rotation) and obtain a one-step ahead nonlinear forecast of the response variable, and then a wild bootstrap procedure is introduced to construct the prediction interval. Under regularity conditions, the asymptotic properties of the proposed methods are derived, showing that the local linear estimator and the nonlinear forecast using the estimated factor regressors are asymptotically equivalent to those using the true latent factor regressors. The developed model and methodology are further generalized to the factor-augmented vector predictive regression with functional coefficients. Finally, some extensive simulation studies and an empirical application to forecast the UK inflation are given to examine the finite-sample performance of the proposed model and methodology.     

Pore structure of reactively synthesized nanolaminate Ti3SiC2 alloyed with Al

Ti₃SiC₂ has the unique properties integrating the advantages of metals and ceramics, and good open pore structure when alloyed with Al. In this work, porous Ti₃SiC₂ compounds with different Al/Si atom ratios were prepared through the reactive synthesis of elemental powders at 1300 °C. The results indicate that the phase compositions are determined by Al element mole number, and that the pore structure can be controlled through varying Ti particle size. The MAX phase transits from Ti₃SiC₂ with Al element mole number no more than 0.6 to Ti₃AlC₂ with Al element mole number in the range of 0.8–1.2. When Al element mole number is 0.6, the porous compound has a single MAX phase of Ti₃SiC₂ with uniform microporous structure and high bending strength. Porous Ti₃SiC₂ alloyed with 0.6Al has a slow linear increase rate of 0.0083%/μm in open porosity with increasing Ti particle size, and a strict linear relationship between the maximum aperture and Ti particle size with the increase rate of 0.0342 μm/μm. The pore structure formed by the phase transition mechanism for porous MAX phase has the smallest tortuosity factor compared with that formed by the clearance mechanism and the Kirkendall effect.     

煤巷高效快速掘进技术优化浅析

煤巷掘进效率低容易造成采掘接替紧张,以柠条塔煤矿S12002工作面胶运顺槽和辅运顺槽为工程背景,采用理论分析和现场工程对比试验相结合的方法,分析了制约巷道快速掘进各环节的因素,提出了优化控制对策。在减少顶板锚杆的支护数量,改良锚固方式并增大锚固长度和排距后,支护效率提高了20%,支护密度降低了30%,极大降低了顶板支护环节的时间;对掘进工艺进行优化后,将日单进水平从35 m左右提升到50~60 m左右,月单进水平从900 m提升到1500 m以上,创出了单日掘进75 m新水平,实现了高效快速掘进。实践表明,该方式现场成巷效果良好,可以满足煤巷高效快速掘进的需要。